From dKosopedia
- Provisional ballots were found valid at less than an 80% rate statewide, when in 2000, the validity rate was closer to 90%. In the uncontested 2000 Ohio election, Gore got 85% of valid provisonals.
- According to a salon article, spoiled ballots in the uncontested 2000 election went to Gore by less than a 2:1 margin. If we assume that a vote can be discerned on all spoiled ballots, and that Kerry gets a 2:1 margin, then the most he can make up here is 30,000 votes. However, a recent study has shown that even within the same counties, pro-Kerry precincts had a higher undervote than other precincts, which suggests there may have been extra Dem targeting this time around. There could be a more exaggerated ratio of votes this time.
- There have been challenges made on the basis of a "Jim Crow" disenfranchisement analysis of historically Democratic and Kerry-supporting precincts. An analysis of the active-versus-actual voters based on historical turnouts, in comparison to the resource (e.g., machine) allocation should lead to more than 130,000 additional votes for Kerry from discouraged voters in overloaded precincts statewide. Based on a rough extrapolation from the number of problems reported to VoteWatch.org, and the identified disparity in Franklin County (+1.9% for Kerry if the machines had been distributed based on active voters per precinct) then since there were five times as many problems reported in Cuyahoga County then we might predict +9% for Kerry in the Cuyahoga County vote, or 39,000 additional votes, and at least a dozen thousand in Deleware county, too. Extrapolating statewide, from Franklin County's results at the level of 9,971 votes per 246 incidents, we can predict 40.5 lost Kerry votes for each reported incident, or 137,500 votes.
